2025-12-27 08:21:09

Last year, the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes—remember? From January, March, May to July, four consecutive increases of 25 basis points each, totaling 100. Then in September, November, and December, they continued, making a total of 8 hikes for the year.

The specific dates were: February 2nd, March 23rd, May 4th, June 15th, July 27th, September 21st, November 2nd, and December 14th.

Then someone asked: With such aggressive rate hikes, did Bitcoin go up? Japan also raised rates twice this year, in March and April. So, what was the result?

Honestly, this is a false proposition. Financial markets have their own rhythm; external news is like seasoning, changing sentiment but not the fundamental trend. Ultimately, the market still depends on capital recognition—whether it's worth the price, and that’s decided by the funds.

To be honest, what I look forward to most about the future isn't the two rate cut expectations or the chain reaction from Japan's rate hikes, but rather the restart of balance sheet expansion and QE. That’s the real game-changer.

The principle of investing is quite simple: during a bear market, when no one is optimistic, quietly accumulate chips; when a bull market arrives, shine brightly.

BTC0,11%

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MergeConflict

· 14h ago

Damn, still debating the relationship between interest rate hikes and coin prices, the big picture is too small. What we should really be watching is when QE will come back. In a bear market, holding chips is the way to go; don't listen to those flashy news. Funding recognition is the hard truth; everything else is虚的. To put it simply, policy changes affect sentiment, but can't change the essence. Interest rate hikes in Japan? We're watching when the Federal Reserve will expand its balance sheet. The market has its own rhythm; those chasing news are already at a loss. Even with such aggressive rate hikes, it still hasn't shown results, which indicates a problem. The real opportunity will only come when QE starts. Good data is meaningless; where the funds are flowing is the most authentic indicator.

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SleepTrader

· 14h ago

Damn, it's the same old story, rate hikes, rate hikes, and it's all about the funds Quantitative easing (QE) is the real boss, only then do you understand I agree that in a bear market, it's about the chips, but there's no money Whether to hike or not depends on the Fed's mood; we can't change anything Honestly, news is just seasoning; the real power lies in the main players' wallets When QE restarts, all the current shorts will kneel Discussing this pseudo-issue for so long is pointless; just hold onto your coins Fund acceptance is the key; no matter how much you talk, it’s useless Japan raising interest rates? Haha, just small skirmishes.

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DevChive

· 14h ago

Expanding the balance sheet through QE is the real way; the rate hike approach is already outdated. --- Funding confidence determines everything; news is just seasoning. --- The bear market is quietly eating up chips; this move is brilliant. --- What's the point of rate hikes? It all depends on how funds play the game. --- Only a return to QE can change the rules of the game; I agree with that. --- The market has its own rhythm; those chasing news are all just leeks. --- Let's wait until the day QE starts; it's still too early now. --- Keep a low profile and accumulate coins, wait for the wind to come, simple and straightforward.

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MemeKingNFT

· 14h ago

How many rate hikes really don't matter; capital recognition is the key, and I've seen through this long ago. The real beginning is when the balance sheet expansion and QE start; we're still waiting now. Focusing on accumulating chips in a bear market is easy to talk about but hard to do, and few can truly stick with it. The news is just a seasoning; it can't change the overall trend. I've told people this a long time ago. Interest rate hikes in Japan? Just for show; on-chain data is the real truth. The rise and fall of Bitcoin has never been about how many times interest rates are raised; capital flow is the real key. This stage is just about building a bottom; be patient and wait for the QE signal. Honestly, those obsessing over the number of rate hikes are just retail investors with a chives mentality; going with the flow is the real way.

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SneakyFlashloan

· 14h ago

Raising interest rates aggressively still can't change the liquidity situation; we still have to wait for QE to restart Wait, this logic basically means that the news is all虚的 (虚的 means虚假的, false or虚幻的, illusory) The bear market is quietly accumulating, and the bull market will come out to wave again—simple and crude but true To put it nicely, it's called low-key eating chips; to be blunt, it's that the retail investors haven't reacted yet Market recognition > all macro expectations, this is unavoidable Eight rate hikes and Bitcoin is still Bitcoin—indeed a pseudo-proposition, no problem QE is the real game changer, everything else is just seasoning No one is optimistic about the bear market, which is good—retail investors have all left, so you can buy cheap The market plays its own rhythm; we just wait for the funds to speak, and that's it

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