2025-12-27 07:26:50

I recently came across some interesting data. To achieve a positive return on Bitcoin this year, the year-end closing price needs to surpass $93,389. Currently, the price is $87,506, leaving a gap of 6.7%. It sounds challenging, but a closer look at market performance shows it's actually quite stable.

From the US spot ETP perspective, from the October peak of $620 billion to now, the decline is only 9%. This indicates that large funds are not panicking and fleeing, but rather maintaining rational positions.

More importantly, Bitcoin's role is quietly changing. It is gradually becoming a tool to counteract currency devaluation. During this process, just a few leading asset allocators or central bank decision-makers changing their stance could trigger a new wave of upward momentum.

Based on the panic index signal of only 22, market sentiment is already approaching the bottom. At such a point, waiting often proves more valuable than active trading.

BTC0,35%

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BearMarketGardener

· 10h ago

Only 6.7% away, I don't think it's a big problem. The fact that big funds haven't exited shows confidence. Only 6.7% away, I don't think it's a big problem. The fact that big funds haven't exited shows confidence. The panic index is at 22, which indicates we're at the bottom. Now, impulsive trading can easily lead to being cut. Let's wait. Now is not the time to rush into buying. Big funds are still accumulating, so I will keep accumulating too. It's that simple. Once the central bank's attitude shifts, it will take off immediately. But we need to wait a bit longer. Everyone is eager to buy the dip, but little do they know that patience is the best strategy. 93k is indeed a bit uncertain, but the bottom signals are all there.

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MemeTokenGenius

· 10h ago

6.7% is still a bit underwhelming, but since there's no significant outflow of ETP funds, it seems like the big players are still holding back their big moves. Wait, if the central bank really shifts stance, this is just the beginning, right? What does the panic at 22:00 indicate? Everyone has already become numb. Not trading actually can make money? I love this logic. Can 93k really be broken? Feels uncertain.

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UnluckyMiner

· 11h ago

6.7%？If we hold steady this wave, we'll win. Big funds haven't run yet. The big players are holding back their big moves. As soon as the central bank makes a move, it will take off. The panic index is only 22, a true bottom signal. Let's wait and see. Don't fuss around; time will tell. I'm just worried it might be another false alarm. I've heard this kind of talk too many times before.

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GasGoblin

· 11h ago

A 6.7% gap, to be honest, isn't a big deal. The key is that the big players haven't left, so it's stable. Wait, will the central bank really change its attitude? I think it's uncertain, but if they do, then it will truly take off. The panic index is 22, so it seems no one is really panicking. That's interesting. It's just a matter of waiting. Anyway, there's not much to stir up.

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