As of December 27, 2025, 10:00 (UTC+8), the price of Bitcoin is approximately $87,000, showing weak short-term fluctuations, with the main range between $85,000 and $90,000. The bears are slightly in control.

Main Opinions

• Trend: The upward channel on the 4-hour chart has been broken, the price has reverted to sideways movement, under pressure from the 20-day moving average ($88,931), the 4-hour ADX indicator is below 25 indicating no strong trend, -DI is slightly above +DI.

• Technical Pattern: A rising wedge pattern is present on the 4-hour chart, caution is advised for a potential bearish breakout.

• Market Sentiment: The Fear & Greed Index is at 23 (Extreme Fear), after options expiry, the market tends to be cautious.

Key Levels (USD)

• Support: 86,890 (Long lower shadow on the 4-hour chart) → 85,000 (High open interest options zone) → 82,000 (Strong secondary support)

• Resistance: 89,000-90,000 (High trading volume zone) → 90,500-91,000 (Previous highs) → 96,000 (Maximum pain point)

Quick Indicator Overview

• Moving Averages: Price is below the 20-day moving average, short-term bias is bearish; weekly trend remains weak.

• MACD (4 hours): Slightly turning negative, the fast line is below zero, selling pressure persists, rebound momentum is insufficient.

• RSI (4 hours): Neutral zone between 40-50, no clear overbought or oversold signals, lacking obvious reversal signals.

• Volume: Weekend trading is quiet; breaking 89,000 with high volume or breaking below 86,000 could open new opportunities.

Trading Strategy (Actionable)

• Short-term Sell: Rebound to 88,800-89,000 for short positions, stop loss at 90,400, take profit at 86,500 (minimum range).

• Short-term Buy: Retracement to 86,200 for main positions, and 85,500 for adding positions, with average entry below 86,000, stop loss at 84,500, and take profit at 88,500.

• Position Size: Limited weekend volatility, light distribution of positions in batches, not exceeding 10% of total capital, with strict stop-loss enforcement.

Trend Activation Conditions

• Bullish Breakout: Sustained above 90,000 with increased volume, target 91,000→96,000.

• Bearish Breakout: Losing the 85,000 level, looking towards 82,000→80,500 (November low).