Lighter adopts a zero-fee strategy, generating profits through two other channels—first, clearing fee income, and second, profit sharing from LLP market makers. This is essentially a copy of Robinhood's approach: first, accumulate trading volume with extremely low or zero-cost trading models, then make money through scale effects.
From a financial perspective, these two revenue streams are estimated to reach around $200 million. Based on this data, the pre-market valuation range is approximately $3.2 billion to $3.9 billion. In other words, it's about 16 to 20 times the revenue multiple.
Interestingly, the fact that this valuation pricing is so consistent reflects that there are quite a few institutional investors involved in the pricing process. Otherwise, the expected prices from different parties wouldn't be so close—someone would always want to squeeze a little more out of the other. This phenomenon now indicates that everyone has reached a good consensus on Lighter's business prospects.
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MevWhisperer
· 5h ago
Copying Robinhood's approach? Alright, zero commission is definitely popular among retail investors, but the key is whether you can hold out until the day you turn a profit...
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ShadowStaker
· 5h ago
ngl the robinhood playbook works until liquidity dries up and suddenly everyone's liquidating into the same pool... 16-20x revenue multiple feels a bit generous when you're staking your model on LLP profits staying stable
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MeaninglessApe
· 5h ago
Copying homework to achieve this valuation is really impressive, with a 16-20x revenue multiple. The consistency among institutions is so strong that it’s a bit suspicious.
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ProxyCollector
· 5h ago
Can the clearing fees support the valuation? It still feels a bit uncertain.
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BoredStaker
· 6h ago
Copying Robinhood's approach is easy to talk about but hard to implement. The key still depends on whether we can truly scale up.
Lighter adopts a zero-fee strategy, generating profits through two other channels—first, clearing fee income, and second, profit sharing from LLP market makers. This is essentially a copy of Robinhood's approach: first, accumulate trading volume with extremely low or zero-cost trading models, then make money through scale effects.
From a financial perspective, these two revenue streams are estimated to reach around $200 million. Based on this data, the pre-market valuation range is approximately $3.2 billion to $3.9 billion. In other words, it's about 16 to 20 times the revenue multiple.
Interestingly, the fact that this valuation pricing is so consistent reflects that there are quite a few institutional investors involved in the pricing process. Otherwise, the expected prices from different parties wouldn't be so close—someone would always want to squeeze a little more out of the other. This phenomenon now indicates that everyone has reached a good consensus on Lighter's business prospects.