#比特币价格预测 I just saw some data from Polymarket and it startled me 😅 The probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 again this year has actually dropped to 29%? It's only December, with more than 20 days left until the end of the year, and it feels like market confidence is waning.

I remember a while ago everyone was discussing whether Bitcoin could break through $100,000. Now, the probability is less than one-third, while the chance of dropping below $80,000 is 26%... What does this indicate? Am I misunderstanding something, or is the market expectation really adjusting?

Suddenly curious, how are the data from these prediction platforms aggregated? Do they fail to reflect the entire market sentiment? Also, is this probability decline because Bitcoin's price didn't rise as expected, or is there some major negative news I missed?

Would appreciate some expert insights. I'm still learning to read the charts as a beginner, and sometimes the market changes really happen too fast 😅