Black Friday’s draw on retail stores remains resilient, though foot traffic patterns reveal a more nuanced picture of consumer behavior heading into the 2025 holiday season. Sensormatic Solutions’ retail analytics division, leveraging ShopperTrak’s tracking of 40 billion annual store visits globally, has quantified the shifting dynamics of America’s biggest shopping day.
The Overall Traffic Picture
Instore visits on Black Friday 2025 declined 2.1% year-over-year compared to 2024, a modest dip that mirrors the broader retail slowdown. This aligns with the year-to-date traffic trend of -2.2%, suggesting the holiday shopping season hasn’t reversed underlying consumer caution. Yet these headlines mask a more compelling story unfolding throughout November.
The Week Before Tells the Real Story
The numbers get more interesting when examining weekly patterns. During the Black Friday week (November 23-28), instore traffic exploded with a 56.7% surge compared to the previous week (November 16-21). This indicates shoppers were deliberately timing their visits, compressing their retail activity into a tighter window rather than spreading purchases across a longer period.
Black Friday itself—November 28—proved why the tradition persists. Instore traffic on that single day soared 248.9% compared to the previous Friday (November 21), an astronomical jump that demonstrates the holiday’s undiminished psychological power over consumer spending behavior.
When Shoppers Show Up Still Matters
Despite shifts in overall traffic volumes, traditional shopping rhythms remain intact. Instore retail continues to peak during early afternoon hours, with the 2-4 p.m. window capturing the highest customer volumes. The clock striking 3 p.m. consistently marks the busiest single hour for brick-and-mortar retailers, a pattern that has held firm across recent years.
This temporal clustering suggests retailers should calibrate staffing and inventory positioning around these established peak windows, even as overall foot traffic adjusts to broader consumer trends.
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Black Friday 2025: Instore Traffic Shows Mixed Signals As Peak Hour Shopping Persists
Black Friday’s draw on retail stores remains resilient, though foot traffic patterns reveal a more nuanced picture of consumer behavior heading into the 2025 holiday season. Sensormatic Solutions’ retail analytics division, leveraging ShopperTrak’s tracking of 40 billion annual store visits globally, has quantified the shifting dynamics of America’s biggest shopping day.
The Overall Traffic Picture
Instore visits on Black Friday 2025 declined 2.1% year-over-year compared to 2024, a modest dip that mirrors the broader retail slowdown. This aligns with the year-to-date traffic trend of -2.2%, suggesting the holiday shopping season hasn’t reversed underlying consumer caution. Yet these headlines mask a more compelling story unfolding throughout November.
The Week Before Tells the Real Story
The numbers get more interesting when examining weekly patterns. During the Black Friday week (November 23-28), instore traffic exploded with a 56.7% surge compared to the previous week (November 16-21). This indicates shoppers were deliberately timing their visits, compressing their retail activity into a tighter window rather than spreading purchases across a longer period.
Black Friday itself—November 28—proved why the tradition persists. Instore traffic on that single day soared 248.9% compared to the previous Friday (November 21), an astronomical jump that demonstrates the holiday’s undiminished psychological power over consumer spending behavior.
When Shoppers Show Up Still Matters
Despite shifts in overall traffic volumes, traditional shopping rhythms remain intact. Instore retail continues to peak during early afternoon hours, with the 2-4 p.m. window capturing the highest customer volumes. The clock striking 3 p.m. consistently marks the busiest single hour for brick-and-mortar retailers, a pattern that has held firm across recent years.
This temporal clustering suggests retailers should calibrate staffing and inventory positioning around these established peak windows, even as overall foot traffic adjusts to broader consumer trends.