Having navigated the crypto space for 8 years, I went from an initial 20,000 yuan to over 50 million. To be honest, there are no secret weapons, only a consistent principle: 50% position size, steady and cautious.

With this methodology, the average monthly return can reach about 70%, and those who follow it have doubled their investment within three months. Today, I will share the position logic that has been tested through a complete cycle of experience.

**The core method is simple: divide your funds into 5 parts.** Invest only one-fifth each time, setting a 10-point stop loss. Calculate this: one mistake costs 2% of total capital; five mistakes would cost 10%. Conversely, once the direction is correct, set a take profit of over 10 points. This way, in the long run, you won't get trapped.

But managing position size alone isn't enough. **The secret to a high win rate is two words: follow the trend.** In a downtrend, every rebound is a trap and an opportunity to escape; in an uptrend, every dip creates a golden opportunity. Instead of trying to bottom fish, it's better to buy low during the upward trend—this is the right way to make money.

Choosing the right coins also matters. **Avoid those that surge rapidly in the short term,** whether mainstream or altcoins. Coins that can go through several major upward waves are rare; after a short-term spike, further gains are extremely difficult. When a coin stalls at a high level, it naturally can't be pushed higher, and a decline becomes inevitable. Many still want to gamble on this, but the results are predictable.

**MACD is my commonly used tool for entry and exit signals.** When the DIF line and DEA cross above the zero line, breaking above zero, it’s a solid entry signal. Conversely, when MACD forms a death cross above zero and heads downward, it’s time to consider reducing your position.

Here’s a word of caution: **never blindly believe in the concept of "averaging down."** Many retail investors have suffered huge losses by doing this—losing more and more, thinking they can recover, but ending up in deeper trouble. This is the most taboo tactic in crypto trading; it pushes you straight into a dead end. Remember this iron rule: never add to a losing position; only increase when in profit. That’s the correct way to manage your positions.

Volume must be your top priority. **Volume is the soul of crypto trading;** price is just the surface. Pay close attention to volume surges during consolidation at low levels; if volume spikes at high levels without further price movement, consider exiting decisively—don’t hesitate.

**Stick to coins in an uptrend,** as this maximizes your chances and saves time. A 3-day moving average turning upward signals short-term upward momentum; a 30-day moving average turning upward indicates mid-term trend initiation; an 84-day moving average turning upward signals a main upward wave; and a 120-day moving average turning upward marks a long-term major trend. Different moving average combinations help determine the trend’s level.

Finally, **review every trade.** Check if your logic for holding coins still holds, see if the weekly K-line still matches your initial judgment, and whether the trend has changed. Timely review and adjustment of your trading strategy are essential to maintain responsiveness in a market that changes in an instant. The market is always there; the key is to find your own systematic thinking.