The offshore yuan rose to 7.048, with the central bank's midpoint rate set at 7.0656, reaching a recent high. Behind this is a deep adjustment in the global liquidity landscape - the Federal Reserve's 75 basis point rate cut and the dollar index falling below 99, as global capital is being reallocated.
The narrowing of the interest rate spread between China and the U.S. is rewriting the map of capital flows. Northbound funds have seen a net inflow into A-shares for five consecutive weeks, with a weekly peak reaching 30 billion yuan. As the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar declines, RMB assets and related markets begin to absorb this floating capital. At the same time, China's export sector is performing strongly — in November, the year-on-year export growth rate was 6.2%, exceeding expectations, and the central bank injected 50 billion yuan during the peak period of currency settlement, providing dual support for appreciation.
This global liquidity tightening and structural shift is significant for cryptocurrency asset allocators. When traditional financial liquidity faces changes, high-risk assets often undergo repricing. Market institutions are starting to raise expectations for the appreciation of the renminbi, pointing to a possibility of 6.8 or even stronger.
But uncertainty is also accumulating. The Federal Reserve's policy framework is about to encounter new variables, and the global central bank game is far from over. Whether the appreciation of the renminbi can continue depends on the upcoming policy turning points. How far this round of capital switching can go still needs to be closely monitored.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
10 Likes
Reward
10
8
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
MagicBean
· 2025-12-24 16:32
With the recent appreciation of the RMB, we need to keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's moves, or else we might get cut.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketGardener
· 2025-12-21 18:21
The US dollar fell below 99 and people started talking about the appreciation of the RMB? Wake up, bro, who knows how long this rebound can last.
View OriginalReply0
ApeWithNoChain
· 2025-12-21 17:27
The appreciation of the RMB, the depreciation of the USD, capital reallocation... sounds like Favourable Information for on-chain assets? But I still feel that this liquidity switch ultimately depends on how the Fed plays its next move, there are too many variables.
View OriginalReply0
NervousFingers
· 2025-12-21 17:19
The appreciation of the RMB this time feels like it's paving the way for the crypto market... As the dollar weakens, capital moves towards high-risk assets. How long can this trap logic continue?
View OriginalReply0
SerumSquirter
· 2025-12-21 17:08
The US dollar index falling below 99 really made me laugh; now whether ETH can rebound all depends on the central bank's mood.
View OriginalReply0
PuzzledScholar
· 2025-12-21 17:08
Wait a minute, the dollar falls below 99 and we start talking about the appreciation of the renminbi? I think this wave of liquidity switching looks more like betting on the patience of the Central Bank... Let's see what the Fed says next week, it's still too early to place bets.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeBarbecue
· 2025-12-21 17:07
The dollar fell below 99 and I'm thinking of entering a position, but it's still too early.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-e51e87c7
· 2025-12-21 17:05
The appreciation of the RMB and the depreciation of the USD, is this wave of liquidity switch really coming? It feels different this time, capital is looking for new outlets, will encryption here also benefit...
#以太坊行情解读 $ETH $SUI $UNI
The offshore yuan rose to 7.048, with the central bank's midpoint rate set at 7.0656, reaching a recent high. Behind this is a deep adjustment in the global liquidity landscape - the Federal Reserve's 75 basis point rate cut and the dollar index falling below 99, as global capital is being reallocated.
The narrowing of the interest rate spread between China and the U.S. is rewriting the map of capital flows. Northbound funds have seen a net inflow into A-shares for five consecutive weeks, with a weekly peak reaching 30 billion yuan. As the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar declines, RMB assets and related markets begin to absorb this floating capital. At the same time, China's export sector is performing strongly — in November, the year-on-year export growth rate was 6.2%, exceeding expectations, and the central bank injected 50 billion yuan during the peak period of currency settlement, providing dual support for appreciation.
This global liquidity tightening and structural shift is significant for cryptocurrency asset allocators. When traditional financial liquidity faces changes, high-risk assets often undergo repricing. Market institutions are starting to raise expectations for the appreciation of the renminbi, pointing to a possibility of 6.8 or even stronger.
But uncertainty is also accumulating. The Federal Reserve's policy framework is about to encounter new variables, and the global central bank game is far from over. Whether the appreciation of the renminbi can continue depends on the upcoming policy turning points. How far this round of capital switching can go still needs to be closely monitored.