Recently browsing the official account of a certain DEX, the first few tweets were almost flooded with the same topic—their newly launched prediction market product. The frequency and pace clearly show how much major exchanges value this business.
But what’s truly worth paying attention to are the subsequent actions. For example, will a leading exchange’s wallet directly embed access to such products? Once this step is taken, the competitive landscape of the ecosystem will be completely different.
This feeling is very familiar, just like the wallet wars among major platforms a few years ago. Back then, whoever could quickly aggregate more functional entrances would capture more users. Now, access rights to high-frequency features like prediction markets, derivatives, and lending have become the new battleground. Wallets are no longer just tools for storing and accessing assets but have become the traffic hubs of the entire Web3 ecosystem.
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BoredWatcher
· 2025-12-22 09:09
Once this step of embedding the Wallet is taken, there truly is no turning back.
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To put it simply, it's about seizing the traffic entry point; the prediction market is just a starting point.
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This logic is the same as when Alipay was creating a super app; whoever controls the Wallet controls the ecosystem.
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Wait, isn't this treating DEX like a bank?
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It has long been apparent that the era of Wallet as a platform has arrived.
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It feels like all the top exchanges are repeating the same tricks; is it interesting?
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BankruptWorker
· 2025-12-19 09:52
Embedded prediction markets in wallets? Isn't this just an upgraded version of the traffic争夺战, already obvious early on
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It's the same trick again, whoever grabs the entrance wins, just a game of nesting dolls
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Are prediction markets really that powerful? Feels like everyone is just following the trend
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Basically, it's fear of being cut off, so they have to build their own ecosystem. I can't see who will win in the end
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Come on, if every wallet is embedded with a bunch of features, won't user experience collapse
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This is real. The wallet battle from last year has now become a feature battle, the logic hasn't changed
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GigaBrainAnon
· 2025-12-19 09:48
Wallet is the new iOS ecosystem; control the entry point, and you control everything.
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DustCollector
· 2025-12-19 09:29
This step of embedding wallets really needs to be implemented; small exchanges will have no way out anymore.
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AllInAlice
· 2025-12-19 09:28
On the day the prediction market was embedded in the wallet, the small exchanges should have cried.
Recently browsing the official account of a certain DEX, the first few tweets were almost flooded with the same topic—their newly launched prediction market product. The frequency and pace clearly show how much major exchanges value this business.
But what’s truly worth paying attention to are the subsequent actions. For example, will a leading exchange’s wallet directly embed access to such products? Once this step is taken, the competitive landscape of the ecosystem will be completely different.
This feeling is very familiar, just like the wallet wars among major platforms a few years ago. Back then, whoever could quickly aggregate more functional entrances would capture more users. Now, access rights to high-frequency features like prediction markets, derivatives, and lending have become the new battleground. Wallets are no longer just tools for storing and accessing assets but have become the traffic hubs of the entire Web3 ecosystem.