Looking at DOGE's performance on the weekly chart, I want to share an interesting cyclical phenomenon.

Going back to the 2022 trend, after the 99-day moving average and the 7-day moving average had a death cross on the weekly chart, Dogecoin reached a relative low in the 7th week. That was in June 2022, after a sharp decline from the high in May 2021, taking over a year to bottom out. Afterwards, there was no immediate rebound but a long sideways consolidation period lasting 1 year and 3 months, until September 2023, when a new upward phase began.

Applying this logic to the recent trend: December 8, 2024, was the last peak, and now (December 19) has been a week of decline. If this cycle repeats, starting from the high point, it might take about a year and one month to fall, which would place the bottom around January 2026, with the price possibly testing around 0.95 as a relative support.

Then it would enter that long accumulation phase—small fluctuations, sideways consolidation—until around 2027 (the exact month is hard to pinpoint), when the next rally could begin.

Of course, this is just a hypothesis based on historical cycles; the market always has black swan risks. But this long-term cycle comparison still has some reference value, at least helping us prepare psychologically for volatility.