Let's be honest about this—prediction markets are fundamentally gambling.

But here's the thing: so is everything else we do without thinking.

Take your morning routine. You wake up, grab coffee, head out. Flip a coin on whether traffic hits you and makes you late for that first meeting. Toss another coin: will some unexpected event derail your whole day? Maybe, maybe not.

The difference? We've normalized those daily gambles. We don't call them that. We just live with the uncertainty.

Prediction markets operate on the exact same principle—humans making bets on uncertain outcomes, trying to extract value from information asymmetry and probability assessment. The mechanics are identical. What changes is our psychological framing.

So before dismissing prediction markets as "just gambling," ask yourself: what makes your coffee run any safer or more rational than placing a bet on market movements? Maybe the real insight isn't that prediction markets are too risky. Maybe it's that we're all living in perpetual uncertainty—and pretending otherwise.