2025-12-15 02:23:17

Trading volume data is showing interesting signals. Polymarket's trading scale is starting to surpass PumpFun, and this is no coincidence.

The logic behind it is actually quite clear: more and more people are realizing that the value dimensions of prediction markets are entirely different. Meme coins are driven by hype and community sentiment, whereas prediction markets are based on real events, real data, and real probabilities — these are two completely different worlds.

The former feels like gambling, while the latter is about trading logic. One is driven by emotional fluctuations, and the other by information gaps and prediction accuracy. As market maturity increases, funds will naturally flow toward areas supported by fundamentals.

Prediction markets are not just a short-term hype but a long-term infrastructure within the crypto ecosystem. These platforms will continue to expand their application scenarios — from political events and sports competitions to financial data forecasting, the ceiling is actually very high. We are still in the early stages.

Never down, only up.

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LiquidatedDreams

· 2025-12-17 22:59

Really? Did Polymarket surpass PumpFun? I don't feel it... Everyone is still playing meme coins. Prediction markets are indeed more "legitimate," but are there really many people making real money? The idea of information asymmetry is a bit idealized.

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LiquidityWhisperer

· 2025-12-16 20:53

Polymarket is indeed bleeding, but saying PumpFun is outdated might be a bit early; different traders have different needs. --- The logic of prediction markets has won, there's no doubt about that, but gas fees are just too high. --- Funds tend to flow to places with solid fundamentals, sounds reasonable, but retail investors still prefer FOMO, that's just the reality. --- Long-term optimism for the infrastructure of prediction markets, but short-term volatility requires good risk management. --- Upgrading from gambling to trading logic, that's a good point, but Polymarket is just so-so; to really compete, Kalshi's position matters more. --- Having a high ceiling is great, but liquidity is the key; otherwise, it's just another dead market.

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OldLeekNewSickle

· 2025-12-15 02:54

Here comes the brainwashing again, telling us about fundamentals. To be honest, it's still gambling; the only thing that changed is what we're gambling on. Uh, no, predicting the market is indeed more rational than meme coins, but there's no need to hype up capital flows—they will just flow naturally. Polymarket surpassing PumpFun? Where does this data come from? I still feel like it's just one scam after another. Talking about informational advantages, but in reality, it's just about who has better information. Retail investors are still the ones getting cut. Fundamental support? How are the previously claimed fundamentals doing now? A risk warning for everyone.

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OldLeekConfession

· 2025-12-15 02:54

Predictive markets should have been popular a long time ago; meme coin players have finally awakened.

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BoredStaker

· 2025-12-15 02:47

The prediction market is indeed gradually eating away at the meme coin market share, indicating that rationality has finally returned.

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DuskSurfer

· 2025-12-15 02:39

The prediction market is really making a comeback. I saw this wave of Polymarket surpassing PumpFun early on. But honestly, most people are still caught up in the FOMO of meme coins, and not many truly understand the fundamentals of trading logic. Funds are shifting from purely emotional trading to products backed by data, which is a sign of a mature market. Wait, you guys say the ceiling is high... Is it still too late to get in now?

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