Lately, I’ve been using AI every day to calculate EDGE’s fully diluted valuation, and it’s actually a pretty interesting job. But there’s one thing that’s both funny and frustrating—clearly the numbers I get from on-chain data and various metrics are quite reasonable, but in the end, there’s always this line: “Since the prediction on Polymarket is XX, we need to apply a discount,” and then the valuation gets inexplicably adjusted downward.



Honestly, isn’t this just a classic case of the anchoring effect at work? The initial number always unconsciously influences later judgments, even when you have a much more solid analytical framework in hand.
EDGE0,35%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
ProofOfNothing
· 2025-12-12 09:47
Data can lie, but people won't
View OriginalReply0
OPsychology
· 2025-12-11 16:34
The analysis makes a lot of sense.
View OriginalReply0
LightningWallet
· 2025-12-09 16:51
The market is just for fun.
View OriginalReply0
NotFinancialAdvice
· 2025-12-09 16:50
Got the hang of psychology
View OriginalReply0
SignatureAnxiety
· 2025-12-09 16:40
The wise are not bound by anchors.
View OriginalReply0
YieldChaser
· 2025-12-09 16:30
Data is everything now.
View OriginalReply0
GasWastingMaximalist
· 2025-12-09 16:21
On-chain data is the hard truth
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin