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Aralık ayında Federal Rezerv'in faiz indirme olasılığı
CME FedWatch’un son verilerine göre, Aralık ayında Fed’in faizleri 25 baz puan düşürme olasılığı %69,8 iken, mevcut durumu koruma olasılığı %30,2.
Ocak ayı için ise durum daha karmaşık hale geliyor: %56,6 olasılıkla 25 baz puanlık bir indirim, %20,2 olasılıkla değişiklik olmaması ve %23,2 olasılıkla 50 baz puanlık bir indirim söz konusu.
İlginç olan ise, piyasaların hâlâ Ocak ayında daha agresif bir indirim olasılığını görmeye devam etmesi. Bu durum, kripto dahil riskli varlıklar için olumlu olabilir, ancak tüm bunlar önümüzdeki haftalarda açıklanacak enflasyon verilerine bağlı olacak.