The Democratic Party is increasing its advantage ahead of the 2028 U.S. presidential election, as markets predict a record 57% chance of victory. This change comes amid declining support for the Republican Party, largely due to public backlash against the U.S. military campaign in Iran.
Recent polls show President Donald Trump’s approval rating has dropped to 36%, while a majority of the public opposes the conflict and is concerned about rising fuel prices and economic pressures.
Although the Republican Party still retains support from core voters, the general sentiment among voters is becoming more cautious, weakening the party’s position. Geopolitical and economic factors are believed to be shaping electoral expectations, allowing the Democratic Party to temporarily hold an advantage for 2028.
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