Hey everyone, wake up! Stop staring at that K-line chart. Our “ultimate milk mom” in the crypto world—the Federal Reserve—has been playing the psychological game of “they don’t move, I don’t move” again! I just finished reviewing the latest interest rate probability table, and after reading it, I really want to hand Grandpa Powell a cigarette. Take a look at this data; it’s even more resolute than my ex refusing to reconcile: June: Steady as an old dog, holding the interest rate unchanged Probability: 92.8% Cut interest rate by 25 basis points Probability: 7.2% In plain language: Want the Fed to loosen in June? Unless Bitcoin jumps to 1 million dollars tomorrow and alarms aliens. Now, this probability basically tells everyone: “Give up, it’s not time to turn on the air conditioning yet.” July: Continue freezing, refuse to melt, maintain the interest rate Probability: 88.8% Cut interest rate by 25 basis points Probability: 10.9% Cut interest rate by 50 basis points Probability: 0.3% (Who voted for this 0.3%? Pure dreamers!) See, by July, everyone still thinks a rate cut is unlikely. Powell is like a strict housekeeper guarding the faucet, no matter how thirsty we are, he just won’t turn the handle.