$ETH #TrumpAnnouncesNewTariffs

4 Phases of the ICT Market Maker Model:

Larger Timeframe Chart

Phase: Distribution / Reversal (Transition to Reversion)

1. Accumulation: This likely occurred at the lower lows before the big run-up visible on the left side of this chart.

2. Manipulation (Raid): This is often the "Stop Hunt" before a major move. Looking at the left side, the wick down to the $1,852 range before the massive green candle up would represent a Liquidity Raid (Sweeping lows) before moving higher.

3. Distribution: The chart is currently trading just below the upper Bollinger Band. The price action shows a "Chop" or consolidation near the highs. This is where Smart Money would be distributing to retail buyers who are FOMOing in.

4. Reversion: The indicators are signaling a potential move down. The MACD shows significant bearish momentum (values around -7.93 / -10.61), suggesting that the reversion (downward move) is either starting or imminent.

Shorter Timeframe Chart

Phase: Manipulation (Raid)

1. Accumulation: Before the sudden wick down, price was consolidating sideways in a tight range (roughly $1,962 - $1,970). This is accumulation.

2. Manipulation (Raid): The sharp wick down to $1,956.52 is a textbook "Stop Hunt." It broke below the consolidation range, triggering sell stops and shaking out weak hands, only to reverse immediately. The SAR indicator is located exactly at the bottom of this wick, marking the "Raid" low.

3. Distribution: Following the raid, price snapped back up into the range. The next phase would be a slight move up to the highs to distribute before the next leg down.

4. Reversion: The MACD on this timeframe is bullish (0.19, -0.83, -1.02) right now, meaning the immediate reaction to the raid is a move up (which fits the MM Model price must first move up to distribute after the raid before the larger timeframe reversion takes over).

Summary of the Move

· 15M is showing the Manipulation (Stop Hunt/Raid) within the larger Distribution zone.

· 4H is showing that price is currently in the Distribution zone and is about to enter the Reversion phase (move downward) to find new buyers (Accumulation) at a lower price.
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