Probability surge predicted within hours of funding, operations of three new wallets raise questions

RektRecovery · 2026-01-06T10:42:11+00:00

In a certain leading public fundraising project, three new wallets are suspected of coordinating behavior. During the initial fundraising phase, progress was slow due to real-name authentication and quota restrictions. However, suddenly, the probability of raising $5 million surged significantly, accompanied by a flood of orders. The operational patterns of these three new wallets are highly similar, raising concerns in the market.

RektRecovery

2026-01-06 10:42:11

Abstract generation in progress

【ChainWen】Interesting things just happened. Three new wallets are suspected of coordinating during the fundraising of a major public offering project.

Here’s what happened: the project’s initial fundraising progress was slow. Strict real-name verification combined with a $2,500 per-user cap indeed kept many people out. The mainstream prediction in the market was that the fundraising total would stay between $2 million and $3 million.

But then there was a turn—about a day ago, the situation suddenly changed. In the prediction market, the probability of reaching the $5 million mark jumped from 20% directly to 70%. Following that was a wave of orders, all targeting the $3 million, $5 million, and even $10 million levels.

The most eye-catching were those three wallets. They are all newly created accounts, just one day old. These wallets’ bets on the $5 million target are highly similar, and they all lower their margins at higher target levels to amplify gains. This combination of tactics doesn’t feel like a coincidence.

The market is transparent, but sometimes local strategies are worth pondering.

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ZKProofster

· 01-09 10:41

three wallets, one day old, same bet ratios... yeah that's not how probability works, technically speaking

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GasFeeVictim

· 01-09 07:27

Oops, isn't this operation just textbook-level manipulation tactics? It's a new wallet, a coincidence, and highly similar betting ratios... who would believe it? Here we go again with another fundraising drama, turning the market prediction into a casino, truly impressive. Three wallets, from 20% to 70% in one day, how many people must be following suit? This kind of thing has become old news, but the question is, why is no one regulating it? New accounts learn leverage in five minutes—are we witnessing a fundraising or a gambling scene? Wait, how are the odds at the $5 million tier right now? It's obviously coordinated, even thinking of amplifying gains through margin—this operation has some skill. Watching this kind of news every day, it's better to be a long-term holder and keep things simple.

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RetailTherapist

· 01-07 07:29

Oh no, this move clearly shows someone is trying to play tricks.

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ForkTrooper

· 01-06 11:12

This operation is really amazing. Three wallets done in a day. Who would believe such coordinated perfection?

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AirdropBuffet

· 01-06 11:12

Another day, another wave of manipulation? This tactic is becoming more and more obvious. --- Three new wallets executing this kind of operation in one day, I wonder what they are up to. --- Clearly a market prediction trick, squeezing the margin like that... pretty ruthless. --- It's always the same: new wallets, high similarity ratios, leverage amplification. If it's not one person, I’ll eat this keyboard. --- Jumping from 20% to 70%? This market prediction is really outrageous. --- Can public offerings be played like this? The lottery system is essentially useless. --- Just one day and these new wallets are so coordinated. How many people are sharing one brain? --- Looking at this method, you can tell someone is trying to bet big on the financing quota. --- It's the familiar trio setup again... always so coincidentally timed. --- Lowering the margin to amplify returns—this is truly a master’s move.

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LiquidatedNotStirred

· 01-06 11:11

Wow, this move clearly shows someone is trying to play tricks.

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DAOdreamer

· 01-06 11:05

This operation clearly shows someone is playing tricks. Three new wallets acting so in sync within a day? Wake up, everyone.

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GasFeeCrybaby

· 01-06 10:59

It's the same old trick again. New wallets perform a flurry of operations within a day, with the probability jumping from 20% to 70%. The absurdity is comparable to the strange price spikes during Ethereum gas fee increases. --- Three new wallets opening accounts and placing bets on the same day—this kind of scriptwriting is even too daring for a Hollywood script. --- I just want to know who the big shot is behind these three wallets, daring to play so blatantly. --- Coordinated behavior? I think it's just market manipulation. Unfortunately, they lack the skill and the guts, or it wouldn't be so easy to uncover them. --- Predicting the jump from 20% to 70%—this operation just doesn't look right. Can anyone tell me whether these three wallets are just pawns or part of a pump-and-dump scheme? --- A typical dump-and-wash routine, just waiting for retail investors to follow and buy in. --- Damn, another "coincidence." I think this coincidence costs more than gas fees.

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