2026-01-05 13:40:50

#以太坊大户持仓变化 I took a look at the recent trend. Bitcoin has been really strong this wave—daily candles have been continuously bullish, pushing above 93,000. Since breaking out of the lower half of the previous range, it hasn't looked back much. The range top is at 94,500, the bottom at 84,500, and the 90,000 level in the middle is holding up pretty well. There’s still room to go up from here, and the reasons to remain bullish are quite solid.

Ethereum hasn't fallen behind either, also rising continuously to around 3,200. After breaking the lower half of the range, it has been climbing steadily, with a top at 3,320, a bottom at 2,770, and support around 3,030. Previously, I mentioned to chase after breakouts, and now the next resistance level is at 3,230. If it breaks through, the 3,320–3,420 zone will be in sight.

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is approaching the top of the range, and the risk-reward ratio is tightening. The middle resistance at 90,000, which I mentioned yesterday, can now turn into support. A rebound from this level has been quite good for long positions. Ethereum is also moving as expected; after breaking above 3,030, it paused around 3,170–3,230. Such adjustments are normal, and the next target remains at 3,320–3,420.

The current strategy is as follows:

For Bitcoin, go long in the 91,500–92,000 range, targeting the 93,000–94,000 zone. Consider cutting losses below 90,500.

For Ethereum, go long at 3,100–3,130, aiming for 3,220–3,320, with stops below 3,050.

Market conditions change quickly, so it’s important to monitor real-time technical feedback and adjust flexibly based on breakouts.

ETH-0,02%

BTC0,55%

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RektRecorder

· 01-08 12:19

Talking about the box breakout again, is this really reliable?

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HodlKumamon

· 01-07 14:24

熊熊刚刚算了下，这波突破的统计显著性确实不错呢 ◡̀_◡́ --- Is it another wave of chasing highs? The risk-reward ratio is getting tighter, and still pushing upward. Feeling a bit exhausted. --- 91500-92000 long? Feels a bit like throwing a tantrum. 熊熊 still prefers to wait for a correction first. --- For Ethereum, a stop loss at 3050, the buffer space is a bit small. How dare they do that? --- Chasing after a breakout? I feel like it's teaching people to chase highs... --- 90000 has turned from a resistance level into support. The rebound logic isn't bad, but the current Sharpe ratio is indeed declining. --- The market is changing and adjusting rapidly. It sounds simple, but in reality, it's easy to get liquidated. Be cautious. --- Is the target of 3320-3420 too greedy? According to probability theory, the retracement after a continuous rise is actually more likely. --- Recently, 熊熊 keeps recalling historical examples of chasing and getting trapped. Everyone really needs to control their risk exposure.

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AlphaLeaker

· 01-06 19:04

The 93,000 level has been broken, and you're still worried about the risk ratio? Just get on board, brother.

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CommunityWorker

· 01-05 14:10

Oh no, 93K really isn't as stable as I imagined. It still depends on whether this wave can break 94,500. Wait, if 3,230 really breaks, will Ethereum directly surge to 3,400? The pace is a bit fast. It wasn't until 90,000 support that I realized, how did I close my short positions earlier? Currently stuck at 3,170 for so long, it doesn't seem that easy to go higher. I'm a bit hesitant to go long in this Bitcoin range; the risk-reward is really tight. Ethereum's bottom support at 2,770 feels a bit far; how can it hold at 3,050? It's been rising for so many days, when will a correction happen? The 91,500-92,000 range feels very suspicious. I'm afraid of catching a falling knife at 3,100-3,130, let's wait and see.

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GmGmNoGn

· 01-05 14:09

If 94500 really breaks, I'll go all-in; this wave's momentum is just unbelievable.

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RugpullTherapist

· 01-05 13:58

Join now? Feels like it might dip back a bit.

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FOMOrektGuy

· 01-05 13:56

It looks like we're about to break the top again. Can we break 94500 this time? --- Damn, Ethereum's pace is somewhat in line with expectations. --- The risk-reward ratio has tightened, and you're still chasing? I'm scared now. --- Setting a stop loss at 3050 feels a bit risky, my friend. --- Breaking the level and then chasing—I've heard this phrase quite a few times... --- A continuous bullish run like this really leaves no turning back. Could 93000 be a false breakout? --- Ethereum is stuck at 3230. How much longer do we have to wait? --- From resistance to support at 90000, the rebound with long positions is indeed satisfying, but how far is the top? --- The explanation is quite detailed, but the market changes too quickly for me to keep up. --- Can 3320-3420 really be reached? I have my doubts.

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YieldFarmRefugee

· 01-05 13:56

93,000 is really a critical level that tests your mentality. I'm worried it might suddenly drop. If it breaks the support, chase it. It's easy to say but so painful to actually do. Ethereum at 3230—whether it breaks or not—is truly a watershed. It feels like today all depends on this. By the way, this wave of market movement is a bit similar to the previous rebound pattern, but this time the momentum is really strong. 90,000 has become a support level. That move was slick; you really called it right.

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rekt_but_resilient

· 01-05 13:50

Wait a minute, can this wave really reach 94500? Feels a bit risky. --- Again stuck at the 3230 level, Ethereum just loves to tease. --- Bitcoin approaching the top and still daring to chase, this move is going to explode. --- Relying on 90000 as support, I think it's risky; if it rebounds, just sell, otherwise you'll get caught. --- Stop loss at 3050 is too tight, easy to be shaken out. --- After such a long rise, finally seeing some correction, but overall the upward trend is still fierce. --- Is this within expectations? I've heard this phrase too many times, and it always reverses. --- I'm still a bit afraid of the 91500-92000 range; too many people are trying to catch the bottom. --- Can Ethereum really reach 3320-3420? Let's see if it breaks 3230 first. --- Real-time technical feedback, actually just depends on luck.

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PaperHandSister

· 01-05 13:41

Are you just planning to run at 93,000? I think it's still early; the support level at 90,000 is too strong to break. --- Another bullish day and a breakout again. How long can this pattern last? --- If Ethereum breaks 3230, I'll go all in, betting it can push to 3420. --- The risk-reward ratio is tightening, yet people are still chasing. That's probably why most people lose money. --- The 90,000 iron gate keeps bouncing back. It feels like the big players have piled up a lot of orders here. --- I've been lurking in the 3100-3130 range for a while, just waiting for a breakout. --- When the pace speeds up, it's time to stop. Don't follow the herd, really this time. --- Is 94,500 the ceiling or a new starting point? Guess wrong, and you'll get wrecked. --- It's really uncomfortable that Ethereum is stuck at 3230. Should I keep holding on? --- Real-time feedback is very important, but people are numb to this phrase now. The key is, are you willing to cut losses?

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