#数字资产动态追踪 As of noon on January 3rd, Ethereum ETH has been oscillating around $3120. The market rhythm is quite interesting——after a continuous rise, the upper shadow lengthened, and the $3150 level faces significant selling pressure, but overall, the trend still leans towards sideways upward movement.

**Technical Analysis**

From a daily chart perspective, although the MACD has crossed bullish, the momentum is waning, which is a warning sign—don't rush to chase the high. The 4-hour chart is more straightforward, with a double top pattern beginning to form, RSI is overbought and starting to turn down, and the price is still near the upper band, indicating increasing short-term correction needs. On the 1-4 hour levels, rebound volume is clearly shrinking, KDJ has already formed a death cross, and the risk of a pullback after a rally is evident.

**Key Levels to Watch**

Looking downward, remember these three support levels: 3100 (EMA120), 3080 (the support/resistance boundary), and 3050 (strong support). On the upside, 3150 (previous high) and 3180 (psychological level) are resistance points.

**Trading Strategies in Three Parts**

Conservative long traders can operate as follows: wait for a pullback within the 3080-3100 range, preferably confirmed by hammer candles or bullish engulfing patterns, then take a small long position (2-3% of your capital). Place stop-loss below 3060 to allow for 40 points of flexibility. First target at 3130, then at 3150. If the price breaks above 3150 and stabilizes on the 4-hour chart, you can chase to 3180-3200, taking profits in stages.

Aggressive shorts, the rebound zone at 3150-3160 is your opportunity. When the price encounters resistance here, especially if shooting stars or bearish engulfing patterns appear at the top with insufficient volume, consider opening a small short position (1-2%). Set strict stop-loss 30 points above 3180, with targets at 3120 and 3080. If 3080 breaks downward, you can chase further to 3050-3030. Remember—shorts must strictly control risk; if you can't handle the stop-loss, exit immediately.

Someone asked, what if the level breaks? If 3150 is broken with volume on the 4-hour chart and the price stabilizes above, then go long with a stop-loss at 3130, targeting 3180-3200. Conversely, if 3080 is broken downward on the 4-hour chart, then go short with a stop-loss at 3100, targeting 3050-3030.

**Risk Management First**

No matter the strategy, never risk more than 2% of your total capital on a single trade—that's the bottom line. Avoid locking positions; stop-loss is stop-loss. Use staggered entries and exits; don't go all-in, and emotional trading is a big taboo.

Also, keep an eye on BTC movements, as they often set the rhythm. If sudden bad news hits, reduce your positions immediately—don't be overconfident. Close short-term trades within the day; for trend trades, set take-profit at EMA120.

**Summary in One Sentence**

Today, focus on the 3080-3150 range; a breakout above 3150 or below 3080 is the signal. Once broken, follow the trend, but always prioritize risk control.