Same setup we saw in: • Dec 2018 → Jan 2019 bounce • Dec 2022 → Jan 2023 rally
Not a guarantee but a pattern worth respecting.
The takeaway:
Altcoins are bleeding because: • BTC dominance is rising • Tax-loss selling is peaking • Liquidity is thin • Demand is exhausted • Macro liquidity hasn’t flowed through yet
This isn’t capitulation.
It’s compression.
And compression phases are usually what come right before expansion.
Patience here beats emotions.
In the mean time touch grass , enjoy christmas with your family
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🚨 THE SAD REALITY OF ALTSEASON NO ONE WANTS TO TALK ABOUT. KEEP READING 👇
They’re bleeding because this part of the cycle is designed to break you.
Here’s what’s actually happening 🧵⬇️
1) Bitcoin dominance is quietly doing its job
When BTC dominance rises, capital concentrates
Money doesn’t leave crypto it hides in Bitcoin.
That means:
• BTC becomes the safety trade
• Alts turn into liquidity sources
• Risk compresses before it expands
This happens every single cycle before alt strength returns.
2) Tax-loss harvesting is crushing alts right now
Crypto is one of the only major asset classes down vs January 1.
Equities? Up.
Gold? Up.
Crypto? Down.
Funds are selling:
• Losing alt positions
• Crypto ETFs
• High-beta names
Not because they’re bearish but to lock in losses before year-end.
That pressure ends… when the calendar flips.
3) December liquidity is thin = exaggerated pain
Low liquidity + forced selling = ugly charts.
That’s why:
• Small sells cause big dumps
• Alts look “abandoned”
• Price action feels irrational
It’s not panic.
It’s math in a low-volume environment.
4) Liquidity works on a lag
The Fed has already started injecting liquidity again.
But markets don’t respond instantly.
Historically:
• Liquidity improves first
• BTC stabilizes next
• Alts move last
Right now we’re still in the lag phase not the breakout phase.
5) Retail is exhausted and that matters
No hype.
No leverage.
No FOMO.
That’s usually when:
• Selling pressure fades
• Volatility compresses
• Smart money waits quietly
Whales don’t buy excitement.
They buy boredom.
6) This phase always feels personal
Low volatility
Sideways Bitcoin
Alts bleeding slowly
Same setup we saw in:
• Dec 2018 → Jan 2019 bounce
• Dec 2022 → Jan 2023 rally
Not a guarantee but a pattern worth respecting.
The takeaway:
Altcoins are bleeding because:
• BTC dominance is rising
• Tax-loss selling is peaking
• Liquidity is thin
• Demand is exhausted
• Macro liquidity hasn’t flowed through yet
This isn’t capitulation.
It’s compression.
And compression phases are usually what come right before expansion.
Patience here beats emotions.
In the mean time touch grass , enjoy christmas with your family
The market will always bounce back in due time
Merry christmas family <3