2025-12-09 20:09:59

The probability of a Fed rate cut has reached 89%, making this round of liquidity release almost a certainty.

What’s even more interesting is the situation with the Bank of Japan. The expectation of a rate hike there is triggering a wave of yen carry trade unwinding. Such cross-market chain reactions often lead to sharp volatility in the crypto market—a time when crisis and opportunity coexist.

Market sentiment has clearly warmed up, and capital is starting to get active. Take Ethereum for example: around the $2,810 level yesterday, the technical indicators did provide a pretty good bullish signal. The actual price movement validated this judgment—a direct surge of 200 points. If you caught this kind of one-sided move, the profit potential would be quite considerable. Based on position size, this trade could have easily made you around $2,000.

But to be honest, every time a move like this happens, there are always people who regret missing out. Watching others take profits while you just sit on the sidelines. The problem isn’t the market—it’s whether you were prepared in advance.

The current situation is: the rate cut expectation as a catalyst is still brewing, and there might be even bigger windows of volatility ahead. Macro policy shifts usually don’t happen overnight; there’s a process of continuously releasing positive signals.

The opportunity is right in front of you—the key is who can seize it. Are you ready for the next setup opportunity?

ETH0,9%

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LiquidationWatcher

· 2025-12-12 02:22

Really, it's another "opportunity right in front of you." Last time I said this, I got trapped for a month...

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DegenDreamer

· 2025-12-10 04:30

89% expectation of interest rate cuts? This is implying that water is going to be released, and everyone has to get in the car

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Hash_Bandit

· 2025-12-10 02:59

ngl, been through enough difficulty epochs to know when macro liquidity is actually priming the pump. that 89% fed cut odds + jpy unwinding? classic setup for network-wide volatility spikes. seen this pattern before during the 2020 halving cycle... except now the hashrate's way higher so the moves hit different.

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AirdropHunterKing

· 2025-12-09 20:39

An 89% probability? Buddy, my wallet addresses are more certain than that. When rate cuts come, just get a taste; when the yen unwinding wave hits, hurry up and cash in. At the end of the day, it all comes down to who reacts faster. I did miss out on that 2810 move, but that doesn't stop me, Old Wang, from keeping an eye on the next hot trend—after all, after scoring so many airdrop contract interactions for free, I've already trained my eye for this.

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AirdropHunter

· 2025-12-09 20:37

89% probability... Uh, this time it really might be coming, but I'm more concerned about how bad the liquidation wave in Japan will get. It's that same old "prepare in advance" talk. Sounds easy, but anyone can say that. Yesterday at 2810, I just overslept, and by the time I woke up, ETH had already taken off. I've seen plenty of these opportunities, but the times I've actually made money are few and far between—mainly because I can't keep my emotions steady. The rate cut cycle is coming and that's definitely bullish, but don't get fooled—it's not that simple.

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ZKProofster

· 2025-12-09 20:35

honestly the 89% rate cut odds feel like pricing in too much certainty—technically speaking, macro catalysts tend to whip around faster than most models account for. the yen carry unwind is genuinely interesting though, that's actual leverage being liquidated not just sentiment... bit different beast.

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VCsSuckMyLiquidity

· 2025-12-09 20:35

Here we go again, is it confirmed at 89%? Wake up, man, you said the same thing last time. Here it comes again, every time you say the opportunity is right in front of us, so why do I always miss out? Bought in at 2810, now I'm crying, got dumped on again. Things really blew up in Japan, could this chain reaction drag crypto down with it... waiting to see. That being said, we still have to prepare, otherwise we'll just have to watch others make money.

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AirDropMissed

· 2025-12-09 20:26

Here we go again, that "89% probability" sounds pretty intimidating... But to be honest, the Bank of Japan's recent moves have really stirred things up, and chain reactions like this are impossible to fully guard against. It's easy to say, but actually making $2,000 isn't that simple. Yesterday, I watched ETH go up 200 points and got anxious, entered late, and ended up getting dumped on. Now when people ask "Are you ready?", I suspect 99% of us aren't actually ready, myself included... Let's wait until the rate cut actually happens. Feels like this window will last for quite a while.

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