#数字资产动态追踪 The recent rebound cycle has been locked in by the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting, with only a 17% probability of rate cuts, so basically no chance in January.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's decline to 80600 is actually a correction after oversold conditions, and it hasn't even touched the 0.618 level. My understanding of this market movement is a rebound — whether it can hold above 94000 is the dividing line that directly determines the subsequent direction. The 91000 to 92000 zone is the real critical level.
Looking at the weekly chart, the previous major-level rally has already peaked, and now we're in a rebound stage within a downward cycle. The long-term logic hasn't reversed, so we still need to remain vigilant about the 7xxxxx zone.
Specifically looking at the weekly structure: support is around 75000, resistance is at 97500. The daily chart has already broken through the critical 91000 level, but there's dense resistance above — if the 94000 barrier can't hold, it will likely bounce around the 90000 zone.
Short positions near 94000 can continue to be held, with support to watch below at 92800.
#数字资产动态追踪 The recent rebound cycle has been locked in by the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting, with only a 17% probability of rate cuts, so basically no chance in January.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's decline to 80600 is actually a correction after oversold conditions, and it hasn't even touched the 0.618 level. My understanding of this market movement is a rebound — whether it can hold above 94000 is the dividing line that directly determines the subsequent direction. The 91000 to 92000 zone is the real critical level.
Looking at the weekly chart, the previous major-level rally has already peaked, and now we're in a rebound stage within a downward cycle. The long-term logic hasn't reversed, so we still need to remain vigilant about the 7xxxxx zone.
Specifically looking at the weekly structure: support is around 75000, resistance is at 97500. The daily chart has already broken through the critical 91000 level, but there's dense resistance above — if the 94000 barrier can't hold, it will likely bounce around the 90000 zone.
Short positions near 94000 can continue to be held, with support to watch below at 92800.