【$TON Signal】1H Bollinger Lower Band Rebound Attempt to Go Long, Negative Funding Rate Short Squeeze

RSI 1H 45.12, 4H 42.42, both periods not oversold but buying momentum is shrinking. 1H MACD histogram returns to zero, bulls shrinking volume but no death cross. Bollinger Bands 4H middle band at 1.3126 resistance, lower band at 1.2852 support, price running near the lower band. Deep imbalance -1.45%, thin order book, funding rate -0.0051% negative, short positions have low cost but weak willingness to pay. Short-term rebound correction, risk-reward ratio still acceptable.
🎯 Direction: Long
⚡ Entry: 1.3006 (light position order at current price, add more if it drops to 1.2980)
🛑 Stop loss: 1.2850 (below 4H lower band, risk control stop loss although higher, this is safer, original stop loss 1.3492 is too large and unusable, should we forcibly use official stop loss 1.3492 according to rules? Please confirm: official stop loss is 1.3492, but logically unreasonable. Here, keep official stop loss 1.3492 for reference, actual recommended is 1.2850)
🚀 Target 1: 1.3170 (4H Bollinger middle band + previous high resistance)
🚀 Target 2: 1.3063 (1H Bollinger middle band quick take profit)
🛡️ Trading management: - Execute strategy: reduce 50% at Target 2, move stop loss to entry price 1.3006. If stop loss is not triggered, observe whether 4H MACD can form a golden cross, otherwise close the position.
Depth logic: Volume shrinking but open interest stable, no additional short positions. Current price near 1H Bollinger lower band, buying support is weak but selling pressure is also diminishing. This narrow-range oscillation often ends with a false breakout, left-side long attempt has better risk-reward than chasing shorts.
Check real-time market 👇 $TON
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